Chemnitzer FC 2-2 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 33%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.19/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.64
-24% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-1 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
03.02.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.08.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
05.02.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
14.08.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC and Greifswalder SV couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chemnitzer FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 0.60 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder SV?

Chemnitzer FC 2-2 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 43%, draw 28%, Greifswalder SV 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chemnitzer FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
29 Mar 2025
00:00 Uerdingen vs Köln II Analysis →
15:00 Havelse vs Meppen Analysis →
15:00 Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
16:00 FC Giessen vs Villingen Analysis →
16:00 Astoria Walldorf vs Homburg Analysis →
16:00 SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier Analysis →