Greifswalder SV 1-1 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
51%
-11.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
2.24/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.24
+25% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.08.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
05.02.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
14.08.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greifswalder SV
1-1
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV and Chemnitzer FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Greifswalder SV had 64% of the ball to Chemnitzer FC's 36%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Greifswalder SV and 0.75 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Chemnitzer FC?

Greifswalder SV 1-1 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 39%, draw 27%, Chemnitzer FC 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greifswalder SV), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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