Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-1 BFC Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.37
+27% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
3W-2D-1L
AWAY BFC Dynamo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
19.04.2024 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 2-2 HT 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 3-1 HT 2-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
23.04.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 2-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
06.11.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-1 HT 1-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
15.09.2019 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BFC Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt swept aside BFC Dynamo 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Rot-Weiss Erfurt made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.33 for BFC Dynamo.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BFC Dynamo?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-1 BFC Dynamo in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BFC Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 38%, draw 32%, BFC Dynamo 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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