SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht Trier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Trier EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.15/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.72
-31% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Eintracht Trier
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2024 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 2-0 HT 1-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
22.04.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-1 HT 1-0 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 1-1 HT 1-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg nicked a narrow win over Eintracht Trier 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; SGV Freiberg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SGV Freiberg and 1.33 for Eintracht Trier.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier?

SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht Trier in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier?

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 40%, draw 33%, Eintracht Trier 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
29 Mar 2025
00:00 Uerdingen vs Köln II Analysis →
15:00 Havelse vs Meppen Analysis →
15:00 Chemnitzer FC vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
15:00 Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
16:00 FC Giessen vs Villingen Analysis →
16:00 Astoria Walldorf vs Homburg Analysis →