Astoria Walldorf 1-1 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

Astoria Walldorf
1-1 HT 0-0
Homburg
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Astoria Walldorf vs Homburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Astoria Walldorf v Homburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.53/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.30
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Astoria Walldorf vs Homburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astoria Walldorf
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Homburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Homburg Homburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
28.03.2024 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 2-0 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Homburg Homburg 5-0 HT 3-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
04.04.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
23.09.2022 Homburg Homburg 4-0 HT 1-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
18.02.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-1 HT 1-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Astoria Walldorf vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astoria Walldorf and Homburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Homburg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Astoria Walldorf and 2.17 for Homburg.

What was the final score of Astoria Walldorf vs Homburg?

Astoria Walldorf 1-1 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astoria Walldorf vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Astoria Walldorf 32%, draw 26%, Homburg 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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