Slavia Mozyr 0-1 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 15 Apr 2026

📅15/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
5.97
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 17%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +79% / +79%
1.56/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-6% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Mozyr
0W-3D-3L
AWAY BATE Borisov
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
20.06.2025 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 1-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
05.10.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 2-3 HT 0-2 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
17.05.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-0 HT 1-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
21.10.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-2 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
24.05.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Mozyr
0-1
AWAY BATE Borisov
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Mozyr vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov nicked a narrow win over Slavia Mozyr 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Slavia Mozyr at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Slavia Mozyr had 63% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 37%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slavia Mozyr and 1.50 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Slavia Mozyr vs BATE Borisov?

Slavia Mozyr 0-1 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Cup on 15/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Mozyr vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Slavia Mozyr 53%, draw 31%, BATE Borisov 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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