Elfsborg 6-1 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 May 2024

Elfsborg
6-1 HT 3-0
AIK
📅15/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.16
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
21%
4.97
X/2
6%
6.35
X/X
11%
4.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
13%
4.44
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.63/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.32
+32% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
22.3 Crosses 19.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY AIK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.62 xG 1.72
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
330 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 2-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
11.06.2023 AIK AIK 1-2 HT 0-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
06.11.2022 AIK AIK 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
10.07.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
29.11.2021 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-4 HT 2-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
02.05.2021 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
6-1
AWAY AIK
2.52 xG 1.03
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
220 Passes 539
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
26 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg ran out comfortable winners over AIK 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Elfsborg had 32% of the ball to AIK's 68%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.52 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Elfsborg and 1.33 for AIK.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs AIK?

Elfsborg 6-1 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 49%, draw 25%, AIK 26%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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