Mjallby 3-0 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.21
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
12%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 33% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.87
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
19%
4.69
X/2
11%
7.13
X/X
11%
4.39
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.22
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.87/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.42
+32% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
21.2 Crosses 19.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hammarby
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.61 xG 2.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
330 Passes 441
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.03.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇK
27.08.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-3 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
09.05.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
18.03.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇK
16.10.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 0-3 HT 0-3 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
15.04.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
3-0
AWAY Hammarby
1.79 xG 0.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
280 Passes 351
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby cruised past Hammarby 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mjallby had 45% of the ball to Hammarby's 55%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.79 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mjallby and 1.50 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Hammarby?

Mjallby 3-0 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 42%, draw 25%, Hammarby 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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