Vasteras SK FK 0-2 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.43
X/2
9%
7.6
X/X
12%
4.95
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
15%
5.51
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.9
Value flag · 2/X at 13.9 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.29/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.90
-39% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
38.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
44.4 Crosses 13.8
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1W-2D-1L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2021 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 3-2 HT 3-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
17.05.2021 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
18.09.2011 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-3 HT 1-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
08.05.2011 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 2-2 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
0-2
AWAY IFK Varnamo
2.30 xG 1.06
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
529 Passes 317
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
41 Box Touches 10
36 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo got the better of Vasteras SK FK 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vasteras SK FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 62% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 38%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.30 to 1.06 — on chances, Vasteras SK FK could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 1.75 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs IFK Varnamo?

Vasteras SK FK 0-2 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasteras SK FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 42%, draw 28%, IFK Varnamo 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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