52 Orduspor FK 1-0 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 33% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
20%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 52 Orduspor FK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 52 Orduspor FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 2-1 HT 0-0 52 Orduspor FK 52 Orduspor FK S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 52 Orduspor FK
1-0
AWAY Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH 52 Orduspor FK vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

52 Orduspor FK edged past Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; 52 Orduspor FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, 52 Orduspor FK had 51% of the ball to Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.'s 49%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of 52 Orduspor FK vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.?

52 Orduspor FK 1-0 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 52 Orduspor FK vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.?

Before kick-off our model rated a 52 Orduspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split 52 Orduspor FK 35%, draw 31%, Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (52 Orduspor FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (52 Orduspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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