Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 2-1 52 Orduspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.3pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY 52 Orduspor FK EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.42/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.95
-6% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% / +45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
2-1
AWAY 52 Orduspor FK
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs 52 Orduspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. squeezed past 52 Orduspor FK 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. had 60% of the ball to 52 Orduspor FK's 40%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs 52 Orduspor FK?

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 2-1 52 Orduspor FK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs 52 Orduspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 43%, draw 33%, 52 Orduspor FK 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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