Mardin 1969 Spor 1-1 Malatya Arguvanspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Mardin 1969 Spor win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
71%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.4pp
11%
Away Win
11%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mardin 1969 Spor EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Malatya Arguvanspor EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -13%
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mardin 1969 Spor vs Malatya Arguvanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mardin 1969 Spor and Malatya Arguvanspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mardin 1969 Spor at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mardin 1969 Spor vs Malatya Arguvanspor?

Mardin 1969 Spor 1-1 Malatya Arguvanspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mardin 1969 Spor vs Malatya Arguvanspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mardin 1969 Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Mardin 1969 Spor 67%, draw 23%, Malatya Arguvanspor 11%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mardin 1969 Spor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mardin 1969 Spor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
S3-1 More Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup
25 Feb 2024
14:00 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs 52 Orduspor FK Analysis →
14:00 Gümüşhanespor vs K.Çekmece Sinopspor Analysis →
14:00 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Artvin Hopaspor Analysis →
14:00 Edirnespor vs İnegöl Kafkas GK Analysis →