Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 1-1 Artvin Hopaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Artvin Hopaspor EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
1.31/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.53
-6% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Artvin Hopaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor and Artvin Hopaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Artvin Hopaspor?

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 1-1 Artvin Hopaspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Artvin Hopaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 44%, draw 27%, Artvin Hopaspor 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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