Edirnespor 5-1 İnegöl Kafkas GK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edirnespor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY İnegöl Kafkas GK EU Bookmakers 25%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.64/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.51
+93% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Edirnespor vs İnegöl Kafkas GK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edirnespor cruised past İnegöl Kafkas GK 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Edirnespor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Edirnespor vs İnegöl Kafkas GK?

Edirnespor 5-1 İnegöl Kafkas GK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edirnespor vs İnegöl Kafkas GK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Edirnespor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Edirnespor 43%, draw 29%, İnegöl Kafkas GK 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Edirnespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Edirnespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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