Espanyol 0-2 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 15 May 2025

Espanyol
0-2 HT 0-0
Barcelona
📅15/05/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Espanyol vs Barcelona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
51%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.24
2-3 Goals
39%
2.25
4-5 Goals
30%
2.4
6+ Goals
10%
4.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
10.65
1/2
6%
17.45
1/X
6%
19.25
X/1
5%
15.05
X/2
21%
4.29
X/X
10%
8.93
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
25%
1.63
2/X
8%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+9.0pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.7pp
51%
Away Win
67%
-15.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Barcelona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 71%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +11%
1.22/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.06
+21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
15.1 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Espanyol vs Barcelona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Barcelona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.26 xG 1.86
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
200 Passes 622
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 3-1 HT 3-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
14.05.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 2-4 HT 0-3 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
31.12.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 1-1 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
13.02.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
20.11.2021 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
08.07.2020 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1

Espanyol 0-2 Barcelona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
0-2
AWAY Barcelona
1.39 xG 0.63
25% Ball Possession 75%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
156 Passes 661
68% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona saw off Espanyol 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Espanyol had 25% of the ball to Barcelona's 75%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.39 to 0.63 — on chances, Espanyol could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Espanyol and 2.00 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Barcelona?

Espanyol 0-2 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 24%, draw 24%, Barcelona 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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