America Mineiro 2-2 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.82
Over
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.0
No
59%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
33%
3.04
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
18%
3.56
6+
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.04 — our 33% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.1pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu The Market 20%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.75/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.15
+14% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
20.7 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Paysandu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
339 Passes 267
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
05.06.2024 Paysandu Paysandu 2-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
09.09.2017 Paysandu Paysandu 0-1 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
03.06.2017 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-2 HT 0-1 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
04.11.2015 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 1-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
29.07.2015 Paysandu Paysandu 2-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
2-2
AWAY Paysandu
0.69 xG 1.02
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
392 Passes 225
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 12
43 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH America Mineiro vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro and Paysandu shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was America Mineiro at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America Mineiro had 62% of the ball to Paysandu's 38%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.69 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for America Mineiro and 1.17 for Paysandu.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Paysandu?

America Mineiro 2-2 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 52%, draw 27%, Paysandu 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
15 May 2025
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