Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham Legion v Rhode Island — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Birmingham Legion 0-1 Rhode Island — Actual Match Statistics
Rhode Island squeezed past Birmingham Legion 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Rhode Island found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Birmingham Legion had 43% of the ball to Rhode Island's 57%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.25 to 1.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rhode Island's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rhode Island led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Birmingham Legion and 2.50 for Rhode Island.
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
Birmingham Legion 0-1 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 35%, draw 29%, Rhode Island 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.