Dalian Zhixing 2-3 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 35% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.82
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
13%
4.74
X/2
6%
7.08
X/X
18%
4.59
2/1
11%
25.0
2/2
14%
5.25
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 31%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.04/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.29
-58% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
26.6 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Zhixing
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.89 xG 1.32
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
299 Passes 235
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2026 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 HT 2-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
04.10.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-2 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
03.08.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 2-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
20.04.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 0-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
02.04.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-1 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
2-3
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.19 xG 2.38
67% Ball Possession 33%
26 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
386 Passes 162
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
66 Box Touches 15
39 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon nicked a narrow win over Dalian Zhixing 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dalian Zhixing at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 67% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 33%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 2.19 to 2.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Dalian Zhixing and 1.60 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Dalian Zhixing 2-3 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 47%, draw 28%, Qingdao Jonoon 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
15 May 2026
14:35 Shanghai Port vs Zhejiang G. FC Analysis →
14:35 Henan Jianye vs Shenzhen FC Analysis →
14:35 Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Qianbao Analysis →
15:00 Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon Analysis →