Henan Jianye 1-0 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.88
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
17%
4.0
X/2
5%
11.45
X/X
9%
5.88
2/1
11%
21.4
2/2
7%
9.28
2/X
6%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.83/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.66
+4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
20.3 Crosses 15.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
301 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.08.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 4-1 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
05.04.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
13.07.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
05.04.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-2 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
28.07.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-1 HT 2-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
1-0
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.29 xG 0.29
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
313 Passes 169
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 12
37 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye nicked a narrow win over Shenzhen FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 61% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 39%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.29 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Henan Jianye had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.00 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Shenzhen FC?

Henan Jianye 1-0 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 63%, draw 21%, Shenzhen FC 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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