Beijing Guoan 4-2 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
15%
5.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.57
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
17.65
X/1
25%
4.03
X/2
4%
15.35
X/X
7%
8.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
18.85
2/2
4%
11.65
2/X
5%
20.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.85 — our 13% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
70%
+3.2pp
16%
Draw
18%
-1.8pp
11%
Away Win
13%
-1.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
2.51/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.35
+21% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
36.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.9 Crosses 14.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.70 xG 1.51
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
512 Passes 244
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-4 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
16.08.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-3 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
22.07.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
17.06.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
17.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
19.10.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 6-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
4-2
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
3.39 xG 0.92
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
558 Passes 240
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan got the better of Qingdao Jonoon 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 66% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 34%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 3.39 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.33 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Beijing Guoan 4-2 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 73%, draw 16%, Qingdao Jonoon 11%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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