Green Gully 1-3 Melbourne City II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
68%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
2%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
2%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
18%
-8.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
68%
Away Win
62%
+6.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City II EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Melbourne City II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City II beat Green Gully 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne City II as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?

Green Gully 1-3 Melbourne City II in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City II win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 9%, draw 22%, Melbourne City II 68%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City II), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City II) ✓ Over 2.5
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