Brisbane Roar II 1-3 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.18
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
72%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
28%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
11%
+1.1pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.5pp
72%
Away Win
73%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 78%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -18%
0.80/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.25
-16% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses 27.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Queensland Lions
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2025 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-2 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
28.02.2025 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-0 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
16.06.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-5 HT 0-3 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
17.03.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
23.06.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
19.03.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions saw off Brisbane Roar II 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 2.50 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Queensland Lions?

Brisbane Roar II 1-3 Queensland Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 12%, draw 16%, Queensland Lions 72%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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