Bentleigh Greens 2-2 Heidelberg United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
16%
4.08
Away
64%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.07
Over 2.5
62%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
41%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.4pp
16%
Draw
21%
-5.3pp
64%
Away Win
63%
+1.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-6.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bentleigh Greens EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 67%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.11/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.50
+6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +109%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bentleigh Greens
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Heidelberg United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
354 Passes 224
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.06.2023 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 1-1 HT 1-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
24.03.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 3-1 HT 2-1 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
05.06.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 2-2 HT 0-0 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
04.03.2022 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 1-0 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
11.07.2021 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-3 HT 0-1 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
11.04.2021 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 1-1 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bentleigh Greens and Heidelberg United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Heidelberg United at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bentleigh Greens had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bentleigh Greens and 1.17 for Heidelberg United.

What was the final score of Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg United?

Bentleigh Greens 2-2 Heidelberg United in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Bentleigh Greens 20%, draw 16%, Heidelberg United 64%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heidelberg United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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