Algarna 3-2 Gottne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.96
Over Pick
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
35%
4-5
23%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
54%
Away Win
57%
-3.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.0pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algarna EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Gottne EU Bookmakers 62%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.83/2.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.86
-35% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algarna
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Gottne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
22.10.2023 Algarna Algarna 1-3 HT 1-2 Gottne Gottne İSÇ4
10.06.2023 Gottne Gottne 4-2 HT 3-2 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
30.07.2022 Gottne Gottne 3-1 HT 1-1 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
02.04.2022 Algarna Algarna 0-1 HT 0-1 Gottne Gottne İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algarna
3-2
AWAY Gottne
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Algarna vs Gottne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algarna edged past Gottne 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gottne at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Algarna had 42% of the ball to Gottne's 58%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gottne led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Algarna and 2.75 for Gottne.

What was the final score of Algarna vs Gottne?

Algarna 3-2 Gottne in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algarna vs Gottne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gottne win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Algarna 22%, draw 24%, Gottne 54%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gottne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gottne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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