Arlanda 4-1 Enköpings SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-5.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arlanda EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Enköpings SK EU Bookmakers 38%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.14/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.75
+20% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +129%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arlanda
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Enköpings SK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.09.2021 Enköpings SK Enköpings SK 3-0 HT 2-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
04.08.2021 Arlanda Arlanda 1-1 HT 0-1 Enköpings SK Enköpings SK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Arlanda vs Enköpings SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arlanda swept aside Enköpings SK 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arlanda as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Enköpings SK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arlanda and 2.00 for Enköpings SK.

What was the final score of Arlanda vs Enköpings SK?

Arlanda 4-1 Enköpings SK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arlanda vs Enköpings SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arlanda 45%, draw 26%, Enköpings SK 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arlanda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arlanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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