IFK Trelleborg 1-2 Hassleholms IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.33
Over Pick
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
39%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+11.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Hassleholms IF EU Bookmakers 66%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.98/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.43
+56% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +146%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Trelleborg
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hassleholms IF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 6
19.08.2023 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
22.04.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Trelleborg vs Hassleholms IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hassleholms IF nicked a narrow win over IFK Trelleborg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hassleholms IF as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hassleholms IF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for IFK Trelleborg and 1.00 for Hassleholms IF.

What was the final score of IFK Trelleborg vs Hassleholms IF?

IFK Trelleborg 1-2 Hassleholms IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Trelleborg vs Hassleholms IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hassleholms IF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split IFK Trelleborg 29%, draw 20%, Hassleholms IF 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hassleholms IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hassleholms IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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