Dandenong Thunder 3-1 Oakleigh Cannons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
13%
+5.4pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.0pp
62%
Away Win
70%
-8.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 75%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
0.42/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.41
-8% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
236 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 17.9
3.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
340 Passes 173
74% Pass Accuracy 60%
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 1-1 HT 1-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
08.03.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-0 HT 2-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
02.06.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
04.03.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-2 HT 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
04.06.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-0 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
04.03.2022 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-1 HT 2-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder beat Oakleigh Cannons 3-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Oakleigh Cannons at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 1.50 for Oakleigh Cannons.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Dandenong Thunder 3-1 Oakleigh Cannons in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oakleigh Cannons win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 18%, draw 20%, Oakleigh Cannons 62%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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