Adelaide United II 3-4 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
38%
3.8
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.17
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-5.9pp
38%
Draw
22%
+15.1pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.6pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +8%
1.69/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.13
+8% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Croydon Kings
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-4 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
05.08.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-2 HT 0-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
30.04.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-1 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
25.06.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-3 HT 2-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
26.03.2022 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 3-4 HT 2-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
17.07.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-2 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide United II vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings squeezed past Adelaide United II 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 38% / 34% — and on the day Croydon Kings made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Adelaide United II and 2.00 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs Croydon Kings?

Adelaide United II 3-4 Croydon Kings in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 29%, draw 38%, Croydon Kings 34%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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