Moreland City 0-1 St. Albans Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.1pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreland City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 32%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.68/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.95
-63% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreland City
0W-0D-3L
AWAY St. Albans Saints
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 4-0 HT 2-0 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
12.08.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
07.05.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 3-0 HT 1-0 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreland City vs St. Albans Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans Saints nicked a narrow win over Moreland City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Moreland City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, St. Albans Saints led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Moreland City and 2.67 for St. Albans Saints.

What was the final score of Moreland City vs St. Albans Saints?

Moreland City 0-1 St. Albans Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreland City vs St. Albans Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreland City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Moreland City 52%, draw 23%, St. Albans Saints 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Moreland City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreland City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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