St. Albans Saints 4-0 Moreland City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland City EU Bookmakers 36%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
2.20/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/3.00
+29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Moreland City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
07.05.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 3-0 HT 1-0 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Moreland City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans Saints swept aside Moreland City 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Albans Saints as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, St. Albans Saints had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Albans Saints and 0.00 for Moreland City.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Moreland City?

St. Albans Saints 4-0 Moreland City in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Moreland City?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 41%, draw 24%, Moreland City 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Albans Saints) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Albans Saints) ✗ BTTS Yes
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