Melbourne Knights 2-2 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.8pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.51/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.19
-19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.1 Crosses 17.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Dandenong City
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
275 Passes 250
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
18.02.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-5 HT 0-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
30.04.2021 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights and Dandenong City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne Knights at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Melbourne Knights and 0.33 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong City?

Melbourne Knights 2-2 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 46%, draw 21%, Dandenong City 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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