St George City FA 1-1 St. George Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

St George City FA
1-1
St. George Saints
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

St George City FA vs St. George Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.5pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.5pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St George City FA v St. George Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
3.52/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/3.93
+61% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / -46%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
436 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.8 Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs St. George Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA and St. George Saints couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had St George City FA at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs St. George Saints?

St George City FA 1-1 St. George Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs St. George Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 63%, draw 19%, St. George Saints 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St George City FA), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St George City FA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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