Blacktown City Demons 0-1 Wollongong Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
42%
Away Win
31%
+10.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.2pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.42
+39% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.2 Crosses 14.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blacktown City Demons
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wollongong Wolves
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.87 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
338 Passes 291
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 1-1 HT 0-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
05.05.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 0-0 HT 0-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
24.07.2022 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 4-1 HT 1-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
06.05.2022 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 3-1 HT 0-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
18.04.2021 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 0-5 HT 0-2 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
06.09.2020 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 2-0 HT 2-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
POST-MATCH Blacktown City Demons vs Wollongong Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wollongong Wolves edged past Blacktown City Demons 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wollongong Wolves as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Blacktown City Demons and 1.17 for Wollongong Wolves.

What was the final score of Blacktown City Demons vs Wollongong Wolves?

Blacktown City Demons 0-1 Wollongong Wolves in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blacktown City Demons vs Wollongong Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wollongong Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Blacktown City Demons 35%, draw 23%, Wollongong Wolves 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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