Weston Bears 0-1 Newcastle Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
16%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.87/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.54
+44% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston Bears
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Newcastle Olympic
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.06.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 0-3 HT 0-2 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNSW
25.03.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 1-1 HT 0-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
04.09.2022 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 1-0 HT 1-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
28.05.2022 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
22.05.2021 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 2-2 HT 0-2 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
POST-MATCH Weston Bears vs Newcastle Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Olympic squeezed past Weston Bears 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Weston Bears at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Weston Bears and 1.20 for Newcastle Olympic.

What was the final score of Weston Bears vs Newcastle Olympic?

Weston Bears 0-1 Newcastle Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston Bears vs Newcastle Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Weston Bears 44%, draw 27%, Newcastle Olympic 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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