Dandenong City 2-5 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.0pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 40%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.00/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.38
-42% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 15.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong City
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Melbourne Knights
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
250 Passes 275
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-2 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
20.05.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
18.02.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-5 HT 0-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
30.04.2021 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights ran out comfortable winners over Dandenong City 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Melbourne Knights made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Dandenong City and 2.50 for Melbourne Knights.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Melbourne Knights?

Dandenong City 2-5 Melbourne Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 37%, draw 26%, Melbourne Knights 37%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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