Devonport City 4-1 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.2pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Devonport City EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.48/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.46
+11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Devonport City
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Launceston City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 0-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
12.08.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-1 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
17.06.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 1-8 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
01.04.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 2-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
20.08.2022 Devonport City Devonport City 2-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
25.06.2022 Launceston City Launceston City 1-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Devonport City vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Devonport City ran out comfortable winners over Launceston City 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Devonport City as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Devonport City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Devonport City and 0.33 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of Devonport City vs Launceston City?

Devonport City 4-1 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Devonport City vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Devonport City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Devonport City 58%, draw 21%, Launceston City 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Devonport City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Devonport City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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