Kingborough Lions 4-3 Clarence Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-16.2pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+12.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.4pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
3.96/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.47
+54% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
450 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Clarence Zebras
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 2-6 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
13.08.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 2-5 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
17.06.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
02.04.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 3-6 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
12.08.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 4-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
18.06.2022 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 0-4 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions edged past Clarence Zebras 4-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kingborough Lions as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kingborough Lions had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Kingborough Lions and 1.83 for Clarence Zebras.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras?

Kingborough Lions 4-3 Clarence Zebras in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kingborough Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 54%, draw 19%, Clarence Zebras 26%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kingborough Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kingborough Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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