Frem 5-3 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 15 Jun 2024

Frem
5-3 HT 1-1
Naesby
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.63
Over 2.5
48%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
34%
+17.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
66%
-17.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-15.8pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frem EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.58/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.14
-12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frem
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Naesby
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Naesby Naesby 1-4 HT 1-3 Frem Frem DAN3
28.10.2023 Frem Frem 0-0 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
05.08.2023 Naesby Naesby 4-2 HT 2-1 Frem Frem DAN3
19.03.2022 Frem Frem 2-2 HT 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
24.04.2021 Frem Frem 1-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
24.10.2020 Naesby Naesby 1-4 HT 0-3 Frem Frem DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frem
5-3
AWAY Naesby
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 27
8 Shots on Target 15
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Frem vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frem saw off Naesby 5-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Frem as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Frem had 43% of the ball to Naesby's 57%, shots finished 17-27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frem had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Frem and 1.50 for Naesby.

What was the final score of Frem vs Naesby?

Frem 5-3 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frem vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frem win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Frem 45%, draw 26%, Naesby 29%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frem), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Frem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN3 More Denmark - 3rd Division
15 Jun 2024
15:00 Silkeborg KFUM vs Vanlose Analysis →
15:00 Ishøj vs Avarta Analysis →
15:00 Vejgaard BK vs Holstebro BK Analysis →
15:00 VSK Arhus vs Holbaek Analysis →