VSK Arhus 4-3 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.03
Over 2.5
40%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
45%
+14.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
55%
-14.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.8pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.94/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.04
+10% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +64%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Holbaek
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 1-1 HT 1-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
23.03.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
12.08.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 0-3 HT 0-3 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
20.03.2021 Holbaek Holbaek 0-2 HT 0-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN2
26.09.2020 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
14.06.2020 Holbaek Holbaek 1-2 HT 1-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN2
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VSK Arhus squeezed past Holbaek 4-3. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had VSK Arhus as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VSK Arhus and 0.67 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Holbaek?

VSK Arhus 4-3 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 48%, draw 29%, Holbaek 23%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VSK Arhus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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