15/06/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Kvik Halden vs Eik Toensberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.44
— our 23% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
29%
Draw
23%
42%
Away Win
54%
53%
Under 2.5
36%
47%
Over 2.5
64%
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
48%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kvik Halden v Eik Toensberg — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kvik Halden
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Eik Toensberg
EU Bookmakers 59%
+1% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+38% /
+38%
0.80/1.31
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
4.00/3.00
-42%
/
+44%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+80%
/
-61%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
327 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
304 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Kvik Halden vs Eik Toensberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Eik Toensberg beat Kvik Halden 2-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Eik Toensberg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Kvik Halden vs Eik Toensberg?
Kvik Halden 0-2 Eik Toensberg in the Norway - 2nd Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kvik Halden vs Eik Toensberg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Eik Toensberg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kvik Halden 29%, draw 29%, Eik Toensberg 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eik Toensberg), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Eik Toensberg)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR3
More Norway - 2nd Division
15 Jun 2024