AFC Malmö 3-3 FC Trollhattan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.0pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Trollhattan EU Bookmakers 24%
-22% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.71/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.66
-11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
0W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Trollhattan
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 3-2 HT 2-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
19.05.2024 AFC Malmö 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
07.10.2023 AFC Malmö 2-2 HT 2-2 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
21.05.2023 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 3-1 HT 2-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
3-3
AWAY FC Trollhattan
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs FC Trollhattan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö and FC Trollhattan shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Malmö at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 55% of the ball to FC Trollhattan's 45%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Trollhattan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for AFC Malmö and 2.25 for FC Trollhattan.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs FC Trollhattan?

AFC Malmö 3-3 FC Trollhattan in the Sweden - 1st Division on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs FC Trollhattan?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 47%, draw 21%, FC Trollhattan 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Malmö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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