AFC Malmö 0-1 FC Trollhattan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Trollhattan EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.92/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.59
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Trollhattan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 AFC Malmö 2-2 HT 2-2 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
21.05.2023 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 3-1 HT 2-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
0-1
AWAY FC Trollhattan
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs FC Trollhattan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Trollhattan nicked a narrow win over AFC Malmö 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Malmö at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 58% of the ball to FC Trollhattan's 42%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Trollhattan led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AFC Malmö and 2.50 for FC Trollhattan.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs FC Trollhattan?

AFC Malmö 0-1 FC Trollhattan in the Sweden - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs FC Trollhattan?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 42%, draw 25%, FC Trollhattan 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö)
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