FC Trollhattan 3-2 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Trollhattan EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.22/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.30
-16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Trollhattan
2W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Malmö
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 AFC Malmö 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
07.10.2023 AFC Malmö 2-2 HT 2-2 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
21.05.2023 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 3-1 HT 2-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Trollhattan
3-2
AWAY AFC Malmö
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Trollhattan vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Trollhattan squeezed past AFC Malmö 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Trollhattan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Trollhattan had 36% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 64%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Trollhattan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Trollhattan and 1.00 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of FC Trollhattan vs AFC Malmö?

FC Trollhattan 3-2 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Trollhattan vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Trollhattan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Trollhattan 41%, draw 28%, AFC Malmö 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Trollhattan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Trollhattan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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