Eskilsminne 1-0 Ljungskile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eskilsminne EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.83/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.53
-5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eskilsminne
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Ljungskile
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
28.04.2024 Ljungskile Ljungskile 3-0 HT 3-0 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne İSÇ3
30.09.2023 Ljungskile Ljungskile 1-0 HT 1-0 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne İSÇ3
28.05.2023 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 5-1 HT 2-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
07.09.2019 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 0-1 HT 0-1 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eskilsminne
1-0
AWAY Ljungskile
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eskilsminne vs Ljungskile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eskilsminne nicked a narrow win over Ljungskile 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eskilsminne as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Eskilsminne had 51% of the ball to Ljungskile's 49%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ljungskile led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Eskilsminne and 1.50 for Ljungskile.

What was the final score of Eskilsminne vs Ljungskile?

Eskilsminne 1-0 Ljungskile in the Sweden - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eskilsminne vs Ljungskile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eskilsminne win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eskilsminne 42%, draw 29%, Ljungskile 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eskilsminne), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eskilsminne) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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