Pitea IF 2-1 Friska Viljor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.53
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-17.2pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Friska Viljor FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.45/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/6.00
-32% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -71%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pitea IF
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Friska Viljor FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
08.06.2024 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
12.09.2020 Pitea IF Pitea IF 2-0 HT 0-0 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pitea IF
2-1
AWAY Friska Viljor FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pitea IF vs Friska Viljor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pitea IF nicked a narrow win over Friska Viljor FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pitea IF as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pitea IF had 46% of the ball to Friska Viljor FC's 54%, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pitea IF and 1.00 for Friska Viljor FC.

What was the final score of Pitea IF vs Friska Viljor FC?

Pitea IF 2-1 Friska Viljor FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pitea IF vs Friska Viljor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pitea IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pitea IF 44%, draw 29%, Friska Viljor FC 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pitea IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pitea IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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