Oskarshamns AIK 1-1 Norrby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.8pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.4pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrby IF EU Bookmakers 51%
-20% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.96/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.98
-23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Norrby IF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.06.2024 Norrby IF Norrby IF 6-0 HT 1-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
04.11.2023 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 1-3 HT 1-1 Norrby IF Norrby IF İSÇ3
29.07.2023 Norrby IF Norrby IF 1-1 HT 1-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
1-1
AWAY Norrby IF
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oskarshamns AIK vs Norrby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oskarshamns AIK and Norrby IF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Norrby IF at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oskarshamns AIK had 46% of the ball to Norrby IF's 54%, shots finished 16-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Norrby IF led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oskarshamns AIK and 3.33 for Norrby IF.

What was the final score of Oskarshamns AIK vs Norrby IF?

Oskarshamns AIK 1-1 Norrby IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oskarshamns AIK vs Norrby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Norrby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Oskarshamns AIK 31%, draw 19%, Norrby IF 50%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Norrby IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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