Bergdalens 1-5 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.35
No
34%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
70%
-3.7pp
34%
BTTS No
30%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergdalens EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -13%
2.46/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.79
+36% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
420 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergdalens
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Varbergs GIF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.06.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 7-1 HT 3-0 Bergdalens İSÇ4
07.04.2024 Bergdalens 0-2 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bergdalens
1-5
AWAY Varbergs GIF
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bergdalens vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF ran out comfortable winners over Bergdalens 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Varbergs GIF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bergdalens had 53% of the ball to Varbergs GIF's 47%, shots finished 14-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Varbergs GIF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bergdalens and 4.50 for Varbergs GIF.

What was the final score of Bergdalens vs Varbergs GIF?

Bergdalens 1-5 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergdalens vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bergdalens 37%, draw 25%, Varbergs GIF 38%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs GIF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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