O Higgins 1-0 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.9pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Higgins EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
1.16/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.49
-40% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
22.7 Crosses 20.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Higgins
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 0.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 Passes 339
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
27.04.2024 O Higgins O Higgins 2-2 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
13.11.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-3 HT 1-2 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
01.05.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
09.10.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
22.08.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME O Higgins
1-0
AWAY Union Espanola
2.48 xG 0.32
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 9
263 Passes 214
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH O Higgins vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Higgins nicked a narrow win over Union Espanola 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had O Higgins as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, O Higgins had 55% of the ball to Union Espanola's 45%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.48 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold O Higgins's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for O Higgins and 1.17 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of O Higgins vs Union Espanola?

O Higgins 1-0 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Higgins vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Higgins win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split O Higgins 42%, draw 27%, Union Espanola 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (O Higgins), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (O Higgins) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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