Union Espanola 0-1 O Higgins — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY O Higgins EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.80/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.23
+18% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.2 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
2W-4D-0L
AWAY O Higgins
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.87 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
320 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 O Higgins O Higgins 2-2 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
13.11.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-3 HT 1-2 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
01.05.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
09.10.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
22.08.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİLİK
18.08.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 1-3 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
0-1
AWAY O Higgins
0.96 xG 0.55
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
402 Passes 196
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs O Higgins
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Higgins edged past Union Espanola 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Union Espanola at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Espanola had 63% of the ball to O Higgins's 37%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.96 to 0.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Union Espanola.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Espanola had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Union Espanola and 1.17 for O Higgins.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs O Higgins?

Union Espanola 0-1 O Higgins in the Chile - Premier League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs O Higgins?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 46%, draw 27%, O Higgins 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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