U. Catolica 4-1 Copiapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Copiapo EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.66/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.40
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
21.4 Crosses 14.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Copiapo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.01 xG 1.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
327 Passes 205
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Copiapo Copiapo 0-1 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
03.12.2023 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 2-2 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
15.05.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 1-4 HT 0-2 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
4-1
AWAY Copiapo
2.15 xG 0.36
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
411 Passes 142
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Copiapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica cruised past Copiapo 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 70% of the ball to Copiapo's 30%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.15 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, U. Catolica had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for U. Catolica and 1.00 for Copiapo.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Copiapo?

U. Catolica 4-1 Copiapo in the Chile - Premier League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Copiapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 50%, draw 27%, Copiapo 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ BTTS No
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